In a report titled “Global Economic Weekly: Shaken and stirred”, the analysis sets out a series of risk-off ingredients that it says point to a different interpretation of recent market moves than the common narrative. Equities are selling off alongside rising Middle East tensions and concerns around the AI trade, reportedly linked to the need for further debt issuance to finance the investment boom. But the report argues this narrative does not add up: if supply were the worry, long-end US rates would be selling off, whereas in fact long-end rates are rallying while equities fall.
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