MaxLinear (MXL) is holding a Stage 2 uptrend, with price above a rising 30-week moving average and all major trend-template checks passing except proximity to highs. The market is focused on a newly formed 7-week deep base (55% depth) that carries an elevated failure rate, with no confirmed breakout yet. Overall sentiment is constructive but cautious, as the stock sits 33.7% below its high and lacks a clear VCP or handle to trigger entry.
Technical Analysis
As of 2026-08-14 · Close $84.84
Stage Analysis
Stage 2 (Advancing) — Price holding above a rising 30-week MA — uptrend intact (30-week MA 6-week slope: 19.99%)
Detected Patterns — What the Market Is Watching
- Deep Base (>33% — elevated failure rate) — depth 55.3%, length 7 weeks, pivot $128.03. Base formed from 2026-06-30 (left-side high) to 2026-08-14, with the low of $57.25 set on 2026-07-29
⚠️ Faulty cup warning: the base is 55.3% deep (above the 38–40% threshold). A correction this deep leaves heavy overhead supply — trapped holders from higher prices are likely to sell into any rally, raising the failure rate of a breakout from this base.
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