SE Stage 3 Topping: Deep Base Failure Risk, Trend Template Fails 5 of 8 Checks

Posted on by Eben@CANSLIM Research
SE daily stock chart with 10, 20, 50, 150 and 200-day moving averages, volume and RS line versus SPY — CANSLIM Research

Sea Limited (SE) is consolidating in a Stage 3 topping pattern, with price churning around a downward-sloping 30-week moving average. The broader trend template is weak, failing five of eight checks as the 200-day average is no longer rising and the stock sits 34.8% below its 52-week high. The current 46-week base is classified as faulty due to its excessive 60.2% depth, and with no VCP contraction or breakout trigger, the overall sentiment is cautious and deteriorating.

As of 2026-08-12 · Close $128.11

Stage 3 (Topping) — Price churning around the 30-week MA — topping consolidation (30-week MA 6-week slope: -2.8%)

⚠️ Faulty cup warning: the base is 60.2% deep (above the 38–40% threshold). A correction this deep leaves heavy overhead supply — trapped holders from higher prices are likely to sell into any rally, raising the failure rate of a breakout from this base.

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