Eben@CANSLIM ResearchAVAV remains in a Stage 4 downtrend, trading below a declining 30-week moving average and 55.8% off its 52-week high. The current base is a deep, faulty pattern with a 66.6% depth, indicating elevated failure risk. With only 2 of 8 trend-template checks passing and a bearish sentiment score of -6, the technical setup favors avoidance or a defensive stance.
Technical Analysis
As of 2026-08-17 · Close $181.13
Stage Analysis
Stage 4 (Declining) — Price below a declining 30-week MA — downtrend (30-week MA 6-week slope: -11.07%)
Detected Patterns — What the Market Is Watching
- Deep Base (>33% — elevated failure rate) — depth 66.6%, length 42 weeks, pivot $409.83. Base formed from 2025-10-13 (left-side high) to 2026-08-17, with the low of $136.68 set on 2026-06-25
- Bull Flag after a 38.8% run, currently 7.6% off the flag high
⚠️ Faulty cup warning: the base is 66.6% deep (above the 38–40% threshold). A correction this deep leaves heavy overhead supply — trapped holders from higher prices are likely to sell into any rally, raising the failure rate of a breakout from this base.
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